Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1832627
This event has 13 active outcome markets. June 30: 54%, June 30: 26%, June 30: 21%.
Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Current
4% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this