Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 6-12?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +3.3pp above current market price; market at 3% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.9% ↑, ETH +1.5% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$40K
Liquidity
$27K
Bid / Ask
2% / 5%
Spread
2.40pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 6-12?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $40K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 2.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886068
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 45%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 14%, Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~27%.
Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 6-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
3% YES (-1.3pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-6.3%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this