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Markets/Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
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Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

10%YES
90%NO
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$27K
Bid / Ask8% / 11%
Spread2.80pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026

FM Estimate

7%

Market Price

10%
↑ Overpriced 2.2pp
Macro fundamentals-4.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplo: 91%, Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplo: 89%, J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat: 54%.

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

-1.8pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 2.80pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986505