Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$27K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
95% / 95%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
95%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
March
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
+4.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1336154
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