ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?
Share on X

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

81%YES
19%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

80% / 81%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

81%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?" at 81% YES / 19% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 81%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 81%, NO 19%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731480

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+5.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

77% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

83% YES (+3.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 81%99%
Buy YES@ 81¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 19¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this