Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$27K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 1?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717500
This event has 10 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?: 95%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?: 78%.
price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 1?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this