Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +2.8pp above current market price; market at 95% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.1% ↑, ETH +0.8% ↑, S&P +0.7% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$32K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
95% / 95%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846018
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
94% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
96% YES (+1.5pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
-13.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this