Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.2pp below current market price; market at 87% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -2.7% ↓, ETH -4.0% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
85% / 89%
Spread
3.80pp
Expert Signal
92%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?" at 86% YES / 14% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 92%. The bid-ask spread is 3.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 86%, NO 14%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891907
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 13: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
89% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
87% YES (-0.9pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this