Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.1pp above current market price; market at 12% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.5% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
10% / 12%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 7?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808002
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
15% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
14% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this