Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +3.6pp above current market price; market at 7% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.1% ↑, ETH +0.8% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$53K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
6% / 8%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $53K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846022
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
11% YES (+3.2pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this