Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.0pp below current market price; market at 8% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -2.7% ↓, ETH -4.1% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
8% / 9%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891913
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 13: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
12% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
8% YES (-2.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this