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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 7?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$11K

Liquidity

$20K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 7?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808022

Outcome Markets12 markets

This event has 12 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 77%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 34%, Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?: 14%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

4% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +23.8pp

3% → 27%

Apr 2, 2026

Peak probability

27% YES — highest in period

Apr 2, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this