Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 22 active outcome markets. Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?: 32%, US strike 7 countries in 2026?: 32%, Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?: 23%.
US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/678777