Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$32K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
77% / 78%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
75%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777593
This event has 15 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?: 83%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?: 75%.
price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Trough probability
47% YES — lowest in period
Mar 29, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
47%
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: -22.0pp
81% → 59%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
84% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
75% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this