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Markets/Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?
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Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

14%YES
86%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$37K

Bid / Ask

12% / 15%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

14%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786416

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-10.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

24% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

13% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 14%99%
Buy YES@ 14¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 86¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this