Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
4% / 4%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800056
This event has 31 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 62%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 45%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 43%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
4% YES (+1.3pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.6%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this