Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
64% / 70%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800062
This event has 31 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 64%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 55%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 50%.
Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
57%
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: +24.0pp
33% → 57%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
57% YES (+24.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this