Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
1% / 3%
Spread
1.70pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 31?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800073
This event has 16 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 37%, Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?: 18%, Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?: 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~29%.
Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 31?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
1% YES (-1.6pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this