Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 31?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800075
This event has 17 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 31%, Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?: 16%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?: 10%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~30%.
Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 31?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this