Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.5pp below current market price; market at 46% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.5% ↓, ETH -0.4% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
44% / 49%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808028
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Trough probability
32% YES — lowest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +10.5pp
32% → 43%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
44% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this