Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.3pp above current market price; market at 76% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.7% ↑, ETH +1.4% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
80% / 81%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
76%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817382
This event has 26 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
77% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Biggest move: -5.0pp
81% → 76%
Apr 6, 2026
Current
76% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this