Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 35% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +1.1% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
33% / 35%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
35%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808035
This event has 26 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
35% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
28% YES (-4.5pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this