Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808039
This event has 26 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.8pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-20.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this