Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +2.1pp above current market price; market at 3% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +1.9% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$28K
Bid / Ask
3% / 3%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817390
This event has 26 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
3% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this