Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
6% / 10%
Spread
4.50pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 4.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1854194
This event has 19 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 73%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 33%, Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 13%.
Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: -7.3pp
25% → 18%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
9% YES (-3.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this