Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$72K
Bid / Ask
74% / 75%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
73%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823778
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 73%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 2?: 39%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
72% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
66% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Current
72% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this