Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$2K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1961045
This event has 19 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5: 100%.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +35.0pp
53% → 88%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
99% YES (+11.5pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this