Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$768
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
44% / 45%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
45%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $768 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/666665
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 76%, Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 62%, Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration be: 59%.
Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 20
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this