ForecastMind
Markets/76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
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76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES
55%NO

Volume 24h

$52K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

44% / 46%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →
76ers vs. Heat
56%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
53%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
48%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
45%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5
45%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5
44%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
44%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
42%

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

47% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 45%99%
Buy YES@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $52K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1795348

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.