Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?
Closed April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$160K
Liquidity
$459K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $160K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1947717
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 66%.
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
100% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this