Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$40K
Bid / Ask
57% / 60%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1961045
This event has 15 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Heat: 1H O/U 124.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5: 100%.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +35.0pp
53% → 88%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
99% YES (+11.5pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this