Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$41K
Bid / Ask
7% / 8%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1370725
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited : 22%, Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Eps: 20%, Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Eps: 13%.
Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s isl
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
6% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this