Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$26K
Liquidity
$33K
Bid / Ask
10% / 11%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786342
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 72%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?: 34%, Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 24%.
Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
10% YES — lowest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +11.0pp
25% → 36%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
36% YES — highest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Current
11% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.8%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this