Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$34K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1854194
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 73%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 33%, Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 12%.
Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: -7.3pp
25% → 18%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
8% YES (-2.4pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+14.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this