Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
5% / 7%
Spread
2.60pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800056
This event has 31 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 64%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 59%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 50%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
5% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this