Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 13?
Closes April 14, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.3pp above current market price; market at 2% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.8% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.7% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
1% / 4%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 13?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1965067
This event has 19 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 60%.
Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
2% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this