Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 11?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 11?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1943697
This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 11: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11: 100%, Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?: 100%.
Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.4pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-20.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this