Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closes July 20, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.5M
Liquidity
$537K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.5M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on July 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/558979
This event has 60 active outcome markets. Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100%, Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100%, DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 86%.
Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this