Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1370733
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited : 23%, Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Eps: 18%, Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epst: 14%.
Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s isla
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
3% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-11.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this