Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16?
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1928793
This event has 39 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
99% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
99% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
-16.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this