Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$248K
Liquidity
$81K
Bid / Ask
100% / 100%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $248K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1959483
This event has 35 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 100%, Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?: 100%, XRP reach $1.40 in April?: 92%.
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
98% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
99% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this