Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
98% / 99%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1928751
This event has 28 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 16: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
99% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
99% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-20.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this