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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES
36%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

64% / 66%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

69%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+7.9pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+23.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +14.0pp

69% → 83%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

83% YES (+14.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 64%99%
Buy YES@ 64¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 36¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 69%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628563