Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
18% / 20%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 23?
March
22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
22% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: -19.5pp
39% → 20%
Mar 23, 2026
Peak probability
43% YES — highest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Current
20% YES (-19.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628565
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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