Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Closes July 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
71% / 76%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
72%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
21 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
21% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
65%
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +24.0pp
25% → 49%
Mar 26, 2026
Peak probability
71% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
71% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 72% YES / 28% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 72%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 72%, NO 28%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591773
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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Full price history for your own analysis.