Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Closes July 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
7% / 10%
Spread
3.20pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
21 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +11.6pp
6% → 18%
Mar 26, 2026
Peak probability
18% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
17% YES (+8.8pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 3.20 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591781
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.