Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Closes July 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
37% / 46%
Spread
9.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
21 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +5.5pp
29% → 35%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
39% YES (+3.5pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591777
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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