Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Closes July 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
2% / 4%
Spread
2.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +10.8pp
3% → 14%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
14% YES (+10.8pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-11.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.10 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591784
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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