Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
FM Estimate
74%Market Price
75%This event has 10 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 88%, April 30: 82%, April 30: 77%.
J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986538