ForecastMind
Markets/Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Share on X

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

91%YES
9%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$14K
Bid / Ask90% / 92%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesApr 30, 2026

FM Estimate

89%

Market Price

91%
↑ Overpriced 2.4pp
Macro fundamentals-4.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

+3.5pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 91% YES / 9% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 91%, NO 9%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986541